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The Trump factor also contributed to Republicans' recruitment woes, with three popular GOP governors telling McConnell and Scott thanks but no thanks. Chair RICK SCOTT (R-Fla.) adopted a stay-out-of-it approach, with his defenders arguing that primary meddling wastes time and money and backfires as often as it works.Īn NRSC aide told POLITICO last night the criticism is “mostly driven by people that just don't like Rick Scott” and expressed comfort with the candidates that voters (and Trump) have picked. The NRSC, which has put its thumb on the scale for favored nominees in the past, did not do so this cycle, to the chagrin of many Republicans.
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Trump has largely had free rein during primary season. The list is quite lengthy of Senate seats lost by weak Republican candidates, even in good Republican years.” No one has been more focused on that question than Senate Minority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL, who told our colleague Burgess Everett back in February, "The only thing I care about is electability.” But with the field now almost set, Trump's heavy hand has undoubtedly complicated matters for McConnell and his deep-pocketed allies.Īs Republican pollster WHIT AYRES told WaPo’s Hannah Knowles, Josh Dawsey and David Weigel : “Having amateur candidates who’ve never run for office before carrying the banner for the Republican Party in critical Senate races is a risky maneuver. The key unanswered question GOP strategists are pondering right now: Is this year more like 2012, when the party lost at least two winnable seats thanks to extremist candidates TODD AKIN and RICHARD MOURDOCK, or 2014, when it rode moderate nominees CORY GARDNER and JONI ERNST to the majority? “And right now, the Republican roster of recruits, it's looking like a bunch of rotten crudités.” “Senate campaigns are candidate-versus-candidate battles,” said the DSCC’s DAVID BERGSTEIN. But it could be enough of a tailwind to propel at least some Democratic Senate candidates to victory against flawed competition. Since May, Democrats have held a consistent generic-ballot advantage in the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, with our latest survey pegging a 4-point lead.īy historical standards, that may not be enough of an advantage for Democrats to keep the House.
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MARK KELLY and others are being buoyed by an improving political environment for Democrats.
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But with only one competitive state (New Hampshire) yet to select its Senate nominee, the picture is clear: Democrats across the country are finding ways to run ahead - sometimes well ahead - of President JOE BIDEN's approval ratings.Ĭandidates like Barnes, JOHN FETTERMAN, Sen.
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And, yes, plenty is going to change before Nov. Yes, Democrats have been on a bit of a winning streak lately. RON JOHNSON (R-Wis.) trailing his Democratic opponent MANDELA BARNES by 7 points. The backing of Silicon Valley titan PETER THIEL hasn't yet been enough to sell BLAKE MASTERS' sharp-edged conservatism to Arizona voters.Īnd in an eyebrow-raising new survey, the respected Marquette University Law School poll finds incumbent Sen.
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HERSCHEL WALKER may be a Georgia Bulldogs legend, but key voters appear to be doubting him after a series of gaffes and abuse allegations. In Pennsylvania, a ferocious Democratic campaign to paint MEHMET OZ as an out-of-touch carpetbagger has left him trailing in multiple polls. And, across the board, they appear to be struggling. Twelve weeks before the midterm elections, Republicans’ hopes of retaking the Senate rest on a slate of DONALD TRUMP's hand-picked nominees.
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Across the board, Donald Trump's hand-picked candidates appear to be struggling.